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Analysts worry that without more fundamental reforms, India will struggle to contain its record high current account deficit and hence support the rupee.
Chidambaram on Monday sought to soothe nerves about its external finances by promising to contain the current account deficit at 3.8 percent of gross domestic product this fiscal year with a slew of measures including easing rules for raising loans abroad.
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The worst performing Asian currency of the year so far hit a new life low of 61.80 rupees per dollar on Tuesday, breezing past a previous low of 61.21 hit on July 8. Central bank intervention helped the rupee recover, but by Wednesday it was sliding once again, to stand around 61.41 by 1.30 p.m.
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The rupee resumed lower at 61.15 per dollar as against the last closing level of 60.77 per dollar yesterday at the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) Market and dropped further to 61.44 per dollar before quoting at 61.40 per dollar at 1045 hours.
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Fag-end dollar selling by exporters helped the rupee to recover lost ground and settle at the day's high of 60.77, a gain of 11 paise. The rupee earlier touched an intra-day low of 61.21 on July 8.
The rupee had dipped by a massive 67 paise to an all-time closing low of 61.10 against the dollar on Friday.
The currency fell 3.4 per cent this week, and is below the levels at which it was trading on July 15 when the Reserve Bank of India unveiled its cash tightening steps to defend the currency.
The RBI stipulated on Thursday that foreign institutional investors would require a mandate from participatory note holders to hedge on their behalf.
Forex dealers will keenly watch, instead, if the central bank indicates more measures to stabilise the currency or gives a timeframe for its current action.
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Subbarao also said credible fiscal consolidation is a pre-condition for stabilising inflation and in securing non-inflationary growth.
The rupee fell on Monday on fears of foreign outflows after stronger-than-expected US jobs growth data cemented expectations of an early end to US stimulus measures.
The RBI Governor says he does not have a specific foreign exchange rate target, which raises concerns that the central bank is unlikely to defend any particular level strongly.
RBI cannot aggressively intervene at this stage says the report.
The problems are being compounded by perceptions that India is ill suited to defend the currency in the near-term.
India's unstable politics and slow pace of reforms add to the downside risks said the bank's note.
The intervention was spotted when the rupee hit 59.90 to the dollar or below
Heightened volatility makes the debt rollovers difficult.
Traders said the rupee was also supported by speculation that May wholesale inflation due this week may show continued easing.
RBI will auction Rs 1,000 crore worth of these bonds next Tuesday.
Can the Indian hedge fund managers convince the wealthy to take up the expensive investment strategy?
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